Tomorrow, the Houston Astros start a 3 game series against the Reds at home. The Reds are 50-55 on the season, and are currently 4th in the NL Central.
Game 1: Monday, July 28, 7:05 CT,
The probable starter for the Reds will be Johnny Cueto. Cueto is 0-1 in his last 3 starts, and only 2-4 in his last 8. In his last game, he threw a season high pitch count of 120, through 6 innings, but struck out 10 – tying his career high. The last time Cueto faced the Astros was on April 24. He pitched 7 innings, gave up 5 runs on 8 hits and with 2 walks and 2 strike outs
The probable starter for the Astros will be Roy Oswalt, who is coming off an injury of a strained left hip abductor. His last start was on July 11 against the Washington Nationals, but he only pitched 17 pitches before being taken out with his strain. Oswalt has not faced the Reds this season.
Career numbers vs. Astros for Cueto: 0-1, 6.43 ERA
Career numbers vs. Reds for Oswalt: 19-1, 2.46 ERA
Prediction: Astros win 5-2
Game 2: Tuesday, July 29, 7:05 CT,
The probable starter for the Reds is Bronson Arroyo. In Arroyo’s last 5 starts, he is 5-0 with a 3.19 ERA. Arroyo’s last start vs. the Astros was April 24, when Arroyo got rocked. He gave up 8 runs on 10 hits in 3 2/3 innings.
The probable starter for the Astros is Brian Moehler. Moehler has been the most consistent starter for the Astros this year, but is coming off an unusual bad outing where he only lasted 2 1/3 innings, giving up 5 ER on 9 hits against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Career numbers vs. Astros for Arroyo: 4-4, 6.14 ERA
Career numbers vs. Reds for Moehler: 0-4, 6.82 ERA
Prediction: Reds win 6-4
Game 3: Wednesday, July 30, 7:05 CT,
The probable starter for the Reds will be Edinson Volquez. After an amazing start to the year, and amazing numbers before the all-star break, Volquez has struggled after the all-star break. He has allowed 9 runs over his past 2 starts. His strikeout totals have dropped severely after the all-star break, also. He has only struck out more than 3 batters once in his past 6 starts.
The probable starter for the Astros will be Wandy Rodriguez, who is coming off a magnificent start against the Brewers. He allowed only 1 run on 3 hits in 6 innings. Unfortunately, Wandy has struggled against the Reds in the last 3 years, going 2-2 with a 5.59 ERA in 7 starts. Hopefully, starting at home will help Rodriguez.
Career numbers vs. Astros for Volquez: Has not faced Astros
Career numbers vs. Reds for Rodriguez: 2-2, 5.59 ERA
Prediction: Astros win 3-1
Numbers don’t lie:
- The Reds are 2-7 in Cueto’s last 9 road starts
- The Reds are 16-37 in the last 53 meetings in
- Astros are 48-18 in Oswalts last 66 home starts
- The Astros are 6-0 in Oswalts last 6 home starts vs. Reds
- Astros are 18-4 in Oswalts last 22 starts vs. Reds
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